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Thursday, February 27, 2014

Bracketology 2/27


I will be posting Bracketology on Sunday and Tuesday as well.  Tuesday will still be my "true" Bracketology day complete with "Best Matchup", "Upset Alert" and "Yawner."  For today's post, I will give you current, up the minute matchups as well as best case scenarios for each squad as well as who they have left. If win% may come into play for any team, I've included that as well Here goes...

DIVISION 1 (opponents and best possible point total and % (if applicable) in parenthesis)
(16) St. Joseph (1) Darien
St. Joseph- 28 points .375% (no remaining games)
Darien- 108 points (no remaining games)

9) West Haven @ 8) Glastonbury
West Haven- 75 points (NDF, Milford- 90 points)
Glastonbury- 78 points (Simsbury, Fermi, Branford- 97 points)

12) Greenwich @ 5) East Haven
Greenwich- 41 points (no remaining games)
East Haven- 88 points (Fairfield Prep- 97 points)

13) South Windsor @ 4) Fairfield Prep
South Windsor- 39 points (Fermi, Farmington Valley, Cheshire- 53 points)
Fairfield Prep- 90 points (Hamden, East Haven- 105)

11) Simsbury @ 6) Ridegefield
Simsbury- 47 points (Glastonbury, Wethersfield- 58 points)
Ridgefield- 87 points (no remaining games)

14) Hamden @ 3) ND Fairfield
Hamden- 54 points .342% (Fairfield Prep- 63 points .375%)
ND Fairfield- 100 points (West Haven, Northwest Catholic- 118 points)

10) Northwest Catholic @ 7) New Canaan
Northwest Catholic- 57 points (Suffield, ND Fairfield- 72 points)
New Canaan- 84 points (no remaining games)

15) Xavier @ 2) ND West Haven
Xavier- 48 points .389% (East Catholic- 54 points .421%)
ND West Haven- 108 points (no remaining games)

-Darien wins the tie breaker over NDWH (total wins).
-ND Fairfield can get a #1 seed if they win out against West Haven & NWC.
-West Haven can move into home ice territory with wins against NDF & Milford.
-Barring an East Haven upset over Prep, the top four will include some mixture of NDF, NDWH, Darien and Prep, with Prep likely being the #4 seed.
-Hamden will likely not finish better than a #14 seed even with a win over Prep on Saturday.
-If Xavier can't beat East Catholic, they will fall to at least the #14 seed. With a win, they will qualify and be around the #11 seed range.
-St. Joseph will be your #16 seed.
-Glastonbury can jump as high as a #5 seed if they win out.

DIVISION 2
16) Wilton @ 1) East Catholic
Wilton- 18 points .325 (no remaining games)
East Catholic- 82 points (Xavier, St. Bernard-NFA-Bacon- 90 points)

9) Cheshire @ 8) New Milford
Cheshire- 46 points (South Windsor- 52 points)
New Milford- 53 points (Amity- 59 points)

12) Suffield-Granby-WL @ 5) Newington-Berlin
Suffield-Granby-WL- 38 points (Wethersfield, Northwest Catholic, Milford- 55 points)
Newington-Berin- 57 points (EO Smith-Tolland, RMR, Hall-Southington- 65 points)

13) Daniel Hand @ 4) Trinity Catholic
Daniel Hand- 35 points (North Branford, Guilford- 45 points)
Trinity Catholic- 64 points (no remaining games)

11) North Branford @ 6) Amity
North Branford- 41 points (Hand, Amity, BBD- 57 points)
Amity- 55 points (New Milford, North Branford- 67 points)

14) Fermi-Enfield @ 3) North Haven
Fermi-Enfield- 24 .324% (South Windsor, Glastonbury, Conard- 43 points)
North Haven- 65 points (no remaining games)

10) Milford Co-op @ 7) BCR
Milford Co-op- 45 points (Guilford, Suffield-Granby-WL, West Haven- 64 points)
BCR- 53 points (Tri-Town, RMR- 58 points)

15) Fairfield Co-op @ 2) Branford
Fairfield Co-op- 23 points .350% (no remaining games)
Branford- 69 points (Glastonbury- 78 points)

-East Catholic has locked up the #1 seed.
-Trumbull, Farmington Valley, BBD, Conard have been eliminated from contention.
-Milford can move into the top five if they win out.
-Fairfield has locked up a final three seed.
-The only way the final three teams aren't Fermi, Fairfield and Wilton is if Fermi-Enfield loses out. Then, Watertown-Pomperaug gets into a complicated tie breaker with them that may come down to lottery.
-With Guilford's loss today, Wilton looks secure to claim one of the final three seeds

OUTSIDE LOOKING IN:
17) Conard
Conard- 23 points .211% (Fermi-Enfield- 27 points .250%)
18) Watertown-Pomperaug
Watertown-Pomperaug- 22 points .275% (no remaining games)
19) BBD
BBD- 17 points .158% (North Branford- 23 points .200%)
20) Guilford
Guilford- 14 points .176% (Milford, Hand, Wethersfield- 28 points .300%)
21) Trumbull
Trumbull- 11 points .200% (no remaining games)
22) Farmington Valley
Farmington Valley- 9 points .211% (South Windsor- 15 points .250%)

DIVISION 3
16) St. Bernard-NFA-Bacon @ 1) Masuk
St. Bernard-NFA-Bacon- 6 points .167% (Eastern CT Eagles, East Catholic- 14 points .250%)
Masuk- 47 points (Housatonic-NW-Wamogo- 50 points)

9) Tri-Town @ 8) Staples-Weston-Shelton
Tri-Town- 22 points (BCR, EO Smith-Tolland, Newtown- 34 points)
Staples-Weston-Shelton- 30 points (no remaining games)

12) Westhill @ 5) NFI
Westhill- 19 .350% (no remaining games)
NFI- 36 points (Shepaug-Litchfield-Nonnewaug- 38 points)

13) Shepaug-Litchfield-Nonnewaug @ 4) EO Smith-Tolland
Shepaug-Litchfield-Nonnewaug- 12 points .278% (NFI, Lyman Hall-HK- 18 points .350%)
EO Smith-Tolland- 36 points (Newington-Berlin, Tri-Town- 45 points)

11) Woodstock Academy @ 6) Housatonic-NW-Wamogo
Woodstock Academy- 13 points .400% (no remaining games)
Housatonic-NW-Wamogo- 32 points (Masuk- 35 points)

14) Joel Barlow @ 3) Sheehan
Joel Barlow- 12 points .235% (Newtown, Sheehan, Norwalk-McMahon- 20 points .350%)
Sheehan- 37 points (Joel Barlow- 39 points)

10) Lyman Hall-HK @ 7) Hall-Southington
Lyman Hall-HK- 18 points (Shepaug-Litchfield-Nonnewaug, RMR- 22 points)
Hall-Southington- 30 points (Newington-Berlin, Wethersfield- 38 points)

15) Wethersfield @ 2) Newtown
Wethersfield- 11 points .250% (Suffield, Simsbury, Hall-Southington, Guilford- 39 points .400%)
Newtown- 39 points (Joel Barlow, Tri-Town- 44 points)

-Masuk has locked up a #1 seed.
-EO Smith-Tolland can gain a #2 seed if they win out.
-Eastern CT Eagles, Stamford are eliminated from contention.
-Wethersfield is currently in with a .267 but has four difficult games left on their schedule.

OUTSIDE LOOKING IN:
17) Norwalk-McMahon
Norwalk-McMahon- 6 points .158% (Joel Barlow- 8 points .200%)
18) Stamford
Stamford- 10 points .150% (no remaining games)
19) Rocky Hill-Middletown-RHAM
RMR- 4 points .118% (Newington-Berlin, BCR, Lyman Hall-HK- 19 points .250%)
20) Eastern CT Eagles
Eastern CT Eagles- 3 points .053% (St. Bernard-NFA-Bacon- 5 .100%)

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